WE ARE TRACKING SHOWERS DEVELOPING TO END THE WEEK

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND

TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL INTO NEXT WEEK.

Overnight: Partly cloudy and warm, isolated evening showers. Lows 72-77. Winds southwest 5-10 mph.

Thursday: Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Highs 88-93. Winds southwest 10-15 mph.

Thursday Night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows 70-75. Winds southwest 5-10 mph.

Friday: Showers and thundershowers. Highs 86-91. Winds southwest 10-15 mph.

Marine Forecast: The Rip Current threat is low from Virginia Beach, VA to Cape Hatteras, NC and moderate from Hatteras to Surf City, NC. Seas will be 3' to 5' at the Crystal Coast and 4' to 6' on the Outer Banks. Water temperatures are near 80s at the Crystal Coast and Outer Banks. The Rivers and Sounds are in the mid 80s and will have a moderate chop on Thursday and becoming choppy in afternoon. Winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 knots, becoming southwest 15-20 knots in the afternoon. High tide is at 7:48am and low tide is at 1:59pm.

Weather Summary:

We are tracking an upper level disturbance in the StormTrack 12 Weather Center. The flow around this area of lower pressure in western North Carolina and around the high over the Florida coast, will keep warm and humid conditions for us. Lows overnight will be in the low 70s at inland locations and mid 70s at the coast.

A cold front will make an attempt to drop south, during the overnight. On Thursday, this front will reach from the New England coast, back through central Virginia and back through the Ohio Valley. This will assist in the showers and thunderstorms becoming more likely on Thursday afternoon. The better chances will be inland, at 60 percent and 40 percent in the coastal locations. Highs will be in the upper 80s at the beaches and low 90s inland.

This front may drift a little more south, but mainly stall out over Virginia to near the North Carolina border. This will provide a 50 percent chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms on Thursday night. Lows will be near 70 inland and in the mid 70s along the coast.

The front will slip to near the North Carolina border on Friday. The front will trail from Virginia Beach, Virginia to near Bristol and continue to the Missouri Bootheel. A low will ride along the front, just off the Virginia coast. This will enhance a disturbance in our area and bring the best chance of rain to eastern Carolina. The chances are at 60 to 70 percent for showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be in the mid 80s on the beaches and near 90 inland.

StormTrack 12 meteorologists are tracking the front, as it remains stalled just to our north. Your 4th of July weather will carry a 40 to 50 percent chance for showers and thunderstorms. The higher chances are in the morning, but are possible in the afternoon and evening as well.

Sunday will maintain that 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Be on the alert for gusty winds, lighting strikes, hail and downpours, with any storms that develop Thursday through Sunday. Even though we could see some thunderstorms, the characteristics do not point to a large number of severe storms. But you should always be on the alert to the danger from any storms that develop.

The front will try to wiggle back north on Monday. A low will develop, along the front, in central Virginia. This will drape a lower pressure disturbance into our area. We are keeping the shower and isolated thunderstorm chances at 40 percent.

The low will lift to the north on Tuesday and be located between Norfolk, Virginia and Washington, DC. The disturbance will trail back into central North Carolina. This keeps us with a 30 percent chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms.

We continue with a 20 to 30 percent rain chance for Wednesday. The low will actual move into New York. High pressure will nudge into the area from the south and the area of lower pressure will reposition over central North Carolina.

Highs will be in the upper 80s to low 90s Saturday through Wednesday. Lows will be in the low to mid 70s Friday night through Wednesday night.

You can always get the latest forecast and weather information on NewsChannel 12, wcti12.com, the StormTrack 12 weather app and our social media on Facebook and Twitter.

Our normal high 89°, low 71°.

Meteorologist Donnie Cox