Thursday has been a decent weather day with lots of sunshine especially early in the day. During the midday and afternoon we have seen a deck of mainly high clouds drift across our skies but still plenty of sunshine filtering through the clouds. With steady 10-20 mph northeast winds we have been a bit cooler than normal (normal high is 74) with temperatures in most places getting to the middle 60s.
Tonight our skies should be clear over most of the inland areas along and west of US17 from Plymouth to Washington to New Bern to Jacksonville. Closer to the coast there will be more clouds but even there the starlight should have no trouble filtering through the high clouds. Later tonight the coastal clouds will probably thicken up some. The 93% full waning gibbous moon rises at 10:21pm and should be visible for much of the late night even through the clouds. Under the clear skies inland, low temps will drop to the lower 40s while under the clouds near the coast expect mid to upper 40s.
Friday will start with some sunshine but as the day goes along we will become mostly cloudy. The clouds are ahead of a developing rain maker that will start out in the Gulf of Mexico then turn toward the north and head up the east coast. Since it is coming our way from the south, during Friday the clouds will thicken from south to north during the afternoon with a chance for some light rain showers to make it into the areas south of US70 (from Goldsboro to Kinston to New Bern to Morehead City) by the late afternoon. The steady northeast wind at 10-20 mph will keep us about 10 degrees cooler than normal with high temps between 62 and 66.
Rain will spread from south to north Friday evening and overnight. Most of us will have rain Friday evening and overnight but the far northern parts of our area (north of US64 from Wilson to Plymouth) will be the last to see any rain and could make it through much of the night before the rain arrives. Heavier rain will be over the south and eastern parts of our area. Overnight low temperatures will be a couple of degrees either side of 50.
Saturday looks to be cloudy and rainy for much of the day. Some of our computer forecast models are suggesting the rain will end by midday but my gut feeling is that it is going to be rainy all day. Now the rain may be of an on and off nature where it doesn’t rain all day but there should be enough rain through the day to have an impact on outdoor activities. The high temperature will be around 65.
Cloudy skies stick around for Saturday night and at the present we are forecasting the rain to taper off from south to north, but I am concerned that we might not see the rain move out until later in the day on Sunday. Saturday night’s low temperature should be in the upper 40s.
Sunday morning will start off with clouds and a decent chance for lingering rain showers. That could pose some problems for area Eastern sunrise services. About half of our computer forecast models want to end the rain prior to dawn on Sunday but the other half of the models keep rain over the area until well into the afternoon. High temperatures should make it to the upper 60s. Hopefully we should see some sunshine through the clouds by late Sunday.
Sunday night sees the drying trend continue with a mix of stars and clouds and low temps around 50.
On Monday look for a mix of sun and clouds with the high up into the lower 70s.
Monday night brings a mix of stars and clouds with the low right around 50.
Tuesday should have a mix of sun and clouds with a chance for some more light rain showers to be scattered around but not a total rainout. The high will be up to or just above 75.
Tuesday night will be cloudy with the chance for some widely scattered rain showers and it will be mild with the low temperature in the middle 50s.
Wednesday and Thursday should be mostly sunny and mild with overnight lows in the low to middle 50s and daytime highs in the middle to upper 70s.