TUESDAY: Mostly sunny hot and humid. Isolated afternoon thundershower possible deep inland. Highs: 88 to 92 inland, 86 to 90 beaches. East to southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear, warm and humid. Patchy ground fog late. Lows: 70 to 74 inland, 74 to 78 beaches. Light wind.
WEDNESDAY: A few clouds for the afternoon. Seasonably hot with an isolated T-shower. Highs: 88 to 92 inland, 86 to 88 beaches. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
MARINE: East wind 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Moderate chop on adjacent rivers and sounds.
WEATHER SUMMARY: As we head into the last week of July, our weather this week will be what you’d expect. Temperatures around 90 with some isolated to scattered afternoon thunderstorms.
The weather pattern this week is again being controlled by a large upper level ridge parked over the south central part of the county. This also means a weak trough over the eastern U.S. that will send pockets of cold air southeastward from the western Great Lakes to off our coast. Over the next two days as these track over our area they will give us the chance for some afternoon storms.
By mid-week that upper level ridge flexes eastward making it harder for storms to develop in the afternoon.
As we head into the weekend a cold front will slowly cross the region. There is some debate at this time just how fast it crosses and how far south it gets. That has a big impact on our weekend forecast. The slower it crosses and the less south it sinks will give us a higher coverage of rainfall. But if it passes quickly and settles to our south, then we’ll have a nicer weekend.
TROPICS: The tropical Atlantic Ocean remains quiet, especially in the typical tropical development areas of the central Atlantic Ocean..
One area I am watching is off the southeastern U.S. coast into the eastern Gulf of Mexico. With an old cold front stalled out over the Bahamas westward through central Florida and the eastern Gulf of Mexico. There is a broad area of disturbed weather on both sides of the Florida peninsula with a weak low pressure trying to form in the eastern Gulf. This would be a slow development if it can get its act together, which appears unlikely. However, this would fit the pattern for the last week of July and early August and something I’ll continue to be alert to.
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Our normal high 89°, low 72°.
---Meteorologist LES STILL