A weekend warm-up is coming. See how long it will last by watching my vlog. http://youtu.be/-HnAFwvwXsA
FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Cloudy and windy. Light rain returns for afternoon. Highs: 44 to 48 west, 48 to 54 east. Northeast wind 15 to 25 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Rain ends early. Clearing near dawn. Lows: 32 to 36 inland, 38 to 42 coastal. Northwest wind 15 to 25 mph.
SATURDAY: Quick clearing, sunny and pleasant PM. Highs: 60 to 64 inland, 50 to 56 coastal. Northwest wind becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph.
DISCUSSION: For us snow lovers, this is a waste of a perfectly good Nor’easter! This is a classic set-up of how eastern Carolina gets the big snows. The high pressure was over New England pumping in the cold air with a storm coming out of the Gulf of Mexico throwing plenty of Atlantic moisture inland. However that high pressure was pumping in “stale” cold air which is why you are seeing more of the sleet/freezing rain mix near the Triad this morning. But if the cold air had stayed…this could have been a 20” snow storm for us using the average 10:1 rain to snow ratio!
As the coastal low pressure moves northeast along our coast, we’ve seen a dry slot develop over eastern Carolina early this morning. But light rain will return late today as the upper level low track from the Florida panhandle to over us by sunset. This will cause the surface low to deepen. This means we’ll continue to see the gusty northeasterly wind. The wind direction is causing water to increase the water level 2 to 4 feet above normal around the Neuse River. As a result we have a Wind Advisory in effect for Onslow, Pamlico, and Craven until 1 p.m. and Carteret and the OBX until 1 a.m. Saturday. Also a Coastal Flood Advisory is posted for areas around the Neuse River until 1 a.m. Saturday.
This entire storm system will move away from us overnight. We might start Saturday with a few clouds, but will quickly clear for a sunny and seasonable day. We’ll continue to be warm and dry into the middle of next week as a upper level ridge sets up over us.
I am tracking another storm for the middle of next week that will also come north out of the Gulf of Mexico. Details still need to be watched, but at this point it looks like another wet, not white storm for us.