The Atlantic Hurricane Season may have seen a slow start, but things are heating up with several areas of concern.
Tropical Depression Ten formed tonight and is about 235 miles east/northeast of Veracruz, Mexico. Maximum sustained winds are at 35 miles per hour and the the depression is moving west at 2 mph. This system will meander around in the Bay of Campeche becoming tropical storm Ingrid sometime late Friday or early Saturday. It eventually should make landfall early Monday afternoon in east central Mexico.
In the far eastern Atlantic with our first hurricane of the season, Humberto. As of the 11 p.m. advisory, Humberto's winds were holding steady at 80 miles per hour, minimum central pressure at 984 millibars and was moving towards the north/northwest at 12 mph. Humberto was located 23.4 North and 29.7 West.
It should continue on a northwestward trend and then turn more to the north. Once this happens, Humberto will encounter fast moving winds in the upper levels of the atmosphere, along with drier air that will help to tear the storm apart. Humberto is forecast to downgrade to a tropical storm by Friday afternoon. It is not expected to impact the United States.
Tropical Storm Gabrielle is to the northwest of Bermuda and will track north to near Atlantic Canada by Friday before dissipating in northern Atlantic this weekend. Current winds are near 40 mph and movement off to the north/northeastt are about 10 mph.
Lastly, I am tracking a wave in the south Atlantic Ocean that some of the US computer forecast models want to eventually (over the next 10 days) push up to the southeastern Bahamas.
Continued development of tropical waves in the Atlantic Ocean, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea along with some changes in the upper air flow pattern over the United States will likely mean lots of action continuing in the tropics during late September and early October. So far, there has been very little impact from tropical weather along the east coast of the United States, but there is the potential for that to change depending on just how that upper air pattern and surface weather features turn out.
In plain language...that means that the tropical weather season could be more active in late September and early October than it has been so far all summer long!