StormTrack 12 Planning Forecast
MONDAY: Variably cloudy with some filtered sunshine. Scattered PM showers north. Highs: 54 to 60 inland, 52 to 56 coastal. West to northwest wind 5 to 15 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy and breezy with scattered rain or snow showers. Albemarle Sound counties stand best chance to see any snowflakes, but little to no accumulation expected. Lows: 34 to 38 inland, 36 to 40 coastal. Northwest wind 10 to 20 mph.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy, windy and cold. Any scattered snow showers early taper and become rain showers. Highs: 38 to 44 inland, 38 to 42 coastal. Northwest wind 15 to 25 mph.
DISCUSSION: The Nor’easter that has the potential to become a history making snowstorm for the northern Mid-Atlantic will get its start off our coast overnight. But will have very little impacts for us.
A weak area of low pressure is across the western part of our state this morning. It will track along the Highway 64 corridor today and reorganize off the northern Outer Banks late tonight. It will then explosively develop as it remains off the coast of the Jersey and New England shore. We are already seeing the clouds from the inland part of this storm this morning. However they are high enough that we will see some filtered sunshine from time to time this morning. That, along with southwesterly winds will combine to surge our temperatures into the upper 50s this afternoon. As that initial low pressure track along Highway 64 it will cause some scattered rain showers to late this afternoon.
The main coastal low pressure begins to take over tonight. The counter clock-wise flow around it will begin to pull colder air in on the back side of it. This will cool the higher parts of the atmosphere, but surface temperatures will remain above freezing. There will be enough moisture around across the Albemarle Sound counties to have a rain and or snow mix overnight. But with temperatures above freezing for the next 36 hours plus the ground remaining warm from being near 60 degrees today, the only possible spot for any snow to accumulate would be on grassy areas. And even that is a stretch. There could also be some snowflakes flying in the air south of that east of Highway 17, but again nothing that would accumulate.
Wind will be the biggest impact from this storm on us as winds by Tuesday afternoon will gust over 30 mph at coastal location.
By Tuesday evening the storm pulls way and we finally drop below freezing. But by this point the moisture will be long gone. So while we might see some flakes fly in the early morning hours of Tuesday across parts of the area, this IS NOT a snowstorm for Eastern North Carolina.
We still have lots of potential for an Eastern Carolina snow storm over the next couple week so stay with StormTrack12.